We've heard very little from Ed Smith since his appointment at Test Selection top-man, but come 3PM we'll see the first squad under him
Interesting reading the Sky punters' views - all pretty conservative, with very few changes from last winter's under-performers. For what it's worth , my thoughts.
Dead certs: Root, Malan, Bairstow, Stokes, Anderson, and a rejuvenated Broad.
Almost certain: Ally, for lack of alternatives. Leach would be there too if not for the thumb injury
Other batsmen:
Stoneman - can't buy a 50 this year, shouldn't and Won't be picked. Nick Gubbins looks like next cab off the rank, despite reservations about his ability to play spin.
Keaton Jennings is in form, and has, so I read, made some changes to his technique after being found out at Test level. Don't think he'll make the cut this time. IMHO Rory Burns has a better case
The infuriating James Vince may squeeze in following his timely 200, in which I read he really grafted and left a lot of balls outside the off-stump alone. Personally, I'd be inclined to leave him in the country game for a while to see if this was a one-of or a sea change
Bowlers - 2 places up for grabs.
Mark Wood in form, and providing some real place. For a spinner, only Dom Bess stands out, but I must confess I've not seen him. I'd pick Craig Overton above Woakes at the moment, partly due to the latter doing not-very-much in the IPL after a disappointing winter. Ditto Moeen.
Jake Ball is going great guns for Notts but has a poor test record so far and IMHO does't provide anything that Broad doesn't do better.
Left-field:
Bairstow up the order and give Foakes the gloves? Can't see it - JB's keeping has been excellent. he might well bat a bit higher than 7, though.
Young guns: anyone seen much of Ollie Pope or Joe Clark? I suspect neither will be deemed ready at the moment. Josh Tongue - the commentators at Worc/Essex were certainly enthusing about him but I can't see him being picked yet. Would be a Big Statement for Ed Smith to pick one real young 'un.
Old farts: James Hildreth, very unlucky to have never been picked, wallowing in runs at he moment. IMHO only likely to be picked if we have a few failures in the middle order in the first few tests.
So ... any thoughts anyone?