I'll be shocked if it's anyone other than Westley or Stoneman. If it's Stoneman then they'll probably move Jennings to three. Westley would just be a straight switch.
Is suspect you are right. I also suspect that the Saffers will be very happy with that selection, I can hear de Plessis telling the team "same bunch of losers, boys!" a mile away.
I hope I'm wrong, but I think it's a mistake to keep with Jennings as he looks like a walking wicket, getting bowled through the gate by Philander on Sunday said it all. Graham Smith really ripped his technique apart from the commentary box. I think it'd be better for him to go back to the county game and work on his technique, and get some confidence from big scores.
Stoneman deserves a chance but I'd still be concerned about starting the innings with 3 defensively minded left handers with positions 5-7 occupied by blokes who don't know how to graft. Seems to me that left-right combos frequently give bowlers, especially speedsters, adjustment problems.
Dawson has promise but I can't see a case for a second spinner at the Oval. I'd rather strengthen the batting.